Introduction: Predicting Political Change in Iran: A History of Failure * The Carter Administration Iran's Policy: Sowing a Revolution and Reaping a Whirlwind * The Carter Administration and the Islamic Republic of Iran: Navigating the Uncharted Territory of Islamist Foreign Policy * The Reagan Administration's Balancing Act:€ Confusion in Washington and Tehran * The Bush 41 Administration: To Contain or not to Contain * The Clinton Administration: The Politics of Reluctant Containment * The Clinton Administration and Khatami's Iran: A New Era in Relations? * The Bush 43 Administration's "Axis of Evil":€ Back to Containment * The Bush Administration and Ahmadinejad's Iran: The Limits of Containment * The Obama Administration: The Rise and Fall of the Iran Outreach Project * Reflections on American Politics and Intelligence in Iran: A Guide for the Perplexed * Conclusion: Looking to Learn the Lessons of Failure.
Introduction: the theory and practice of predicting political change
The Iran policy of the Carter administration: triggering a revolution and reaping a whirlwind
The Carter administration and the uncharted territory of the Islamic Republic of Iran
The Reagan administration's balancing act: confusion in Washington and Tehran
The Bush administration: to contain or not to contain
The Clinton administration: containing Iran
The Clinton administration and Khatami's Iran: a new era in relations?
The George W. Bush administration: back to containment
The George W. Bush administration and the failure of containment
The Obama administration : the rise and fall of the Iran outreach project
Conclusions: reflections on American politics and intelligence in Iran.