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Fault lines in China's economic terrain
Title
Fault lines in China's economic terrain / Charles Wolf, Jr. ... [et al.].
ISBN
0833033441 (pbk.)
Published
Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003.
Physical Description
xxvii, 207 p. : ill., map ; 23 cm.
Notes
"Prepared for the Office of Net Assessment, Dept. of Defense and the Smith Richardson Foundation."
Format
Books
Language
English
Added to Catalog
July 30, 2003
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references (p. 181-194) and index.
Contents
Unemployment, poverty, social unrest xi
Economic effects of corruption xii
HIV-AIDS and epidemic disease xii
Water resources and pollution xii
Energy consumption and prices xiii
Fragility of the financial system and state-owned enterprises xiii
Possible shrinkage of foreign direct investment xiii
Conflictual adversities: Taiwan and other potential conflicts xiv
Acronyms xvii
Potential adversities confronting China's continued economic growth 1
Part I. China's institutional and structural fault lines
Massive unemployment and rural poverty
Economic effects of corruption
Part II. Sectoral fault lines
Epidemic disease: a wild card in China's economic future?
China's health progress since the liberation:̤ a long march against infectious and parasitic disease
China's current health profile in international and geographic perspective
Prospects for epidemic disease in contemporary China : the risks of behavior-born communicable illnesses
Modeling possible trajectories for an HIV epidemic in China
Economic implications for China of HIV breakout
Water resources and pollution
Estimating water supply and demand
Water resources and regional disparities
Demand estimation for agriculture, industry, and municipality
Identifying the impacts of flood, water shortage and pollution on the economy
Impacts on agriculture
Impacts on industry, municipal water supply, and public health
Alternatives to abate the problem, and the expected cost and benefits
Giant water diversion from South to North
Water saving technologies and flood control
A market-approach to demand and pollution management
Water treatment and recycling
Economic and security implications
Impact of water problems on productivity, capital and labor
Security: food sufficiency and regional conflicts
Future scenarios and possible adversities
GDP effects of an energy price shock
Some basic data on the Chinese energy sector and Chinese GDP
Oil price effects of a severe oil supply disruption
Effects on Chinese GDP
Oil market effects
Part II. Financial fault lines
China's fragile financial system and the state-owned enterprises
An ineffectual central bank
A fragile commercial banking system
Unregulated financial institutions
Adverse scenarios: financial crises and slacken economic growth
Possible shrinkage of foreign capital inflows
Introduction: some relevant background
What will affect FDI in China in the 2002-2010 period?
The internal political and economic environment
External influences on FDI in China.
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