Introduction : our gift
Adaptive biases : making the right mistakes in international politics
The evolution of an idea : politics in the age of biology
Fortune favors the bold : the strategic advantages of overconfidence
The lion and the mouse : overconfidence and the American Revolution
Hedging bets : the strategic advantages of attribution error
Know your enemy : Britain and the appeasement of Hitler
United we stand : the strategic advantages of group bias
No mercy : the Pacific campaign of World War II
Overkill : the limits of adaptive biases
Guardian angels : the strategic advantages of cognitive biases.