Front cover
Contents
Acknowledgments
Editors
Contributors
Chapter 1. Government Budget Forecasting: Improving the State of the Art
PART 1: FORECAST PRACTICES
Chapter 2. Federal Revenue Forecasting
Chapter 3. The State of the Art: Revenue Forecasting in U.S. State Governments
Chapter 4. Forecasting State Revenues in Louisiana: From Dramatic Changes in the Oil and Gas Industry in the 1970s and 1980s to the Aftermath of Catastrophic Hurricanes in the 2000s
Chapter 5. Budget Forecasting for the State of California*
Chapter 6. Forecasting the Personal Income Tax
Chapter 7. Income Tax Forecasting in Minnesota
Chapter 8. Methods and Issues in Forecasting Casino Tax Revenue
Chapter 9. Estimating and Forecasting Welfare Caseloads
Chapter 10. Forecast Evaluation: A Case Study
Chapter 11. Using Census Data to Forecast New Local Sales Taxes
Chapter 12. Does Revenue Forecasting Responsibility Matter
The Case of Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Chapter 13. Evaluating Revenue Forcasting in City Governments: A Survey of Texas Finance Directors
Chapter 14. Pro Forma Forecasting for Determining the Financial Position of Enterprise Operations in Government
Chapter 15. Prepairing Data for Forecasting
PART 2: CONSENSUS FORECASTING
Chapter 16. Consensus Forecasting for Budgeting in Theory and Practice
Chapter 17. Use of Consensus Revenue Forecasting in U.S. State Governments
Chapter 18. State Revenue Forecasting in the State of Indiana: A Consensus System in a Politically Divided State
Chapter 19. Consensus Revenue Estimating in State Government: A Case of What Works in Kansas
PART 3: UNCERTAINTY AND RISK ASSESSMENT IN BUDGET FORECASTING
Chapter 20. Forecast Errors: Balancing the Risk and Costs of Being Wrong.
Chapter 21. State Fiscal Management: What Practitioners Can Learn from Risk Management Theory
Chapter 22. State Tax Portfolios: An Integrate Methodology for Forecating and Analysis
PART 4: OTHER TOPICS IN BUDGET FORECASTING
Chapter 23. Forecasting Revenues and Expenditures in the Public Sector: Guidance from a Code of Ethics
Chapter 24. Transparency in Government Revenue Forecasting
Chapter 25. Incorporating Fiscal Architecture into Budget Forecasting
Chapter 26. Forecasting Practices in Emerging Countries: The Morocco Experience
Index
Back cover.